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March 28, 2024, 10:22 a.m. EDT

It’s time to buy the next leg of the AI story. Think global, says Citi, offering these stock picks.

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By Barbara Kollmeyer

“No rush.”

That was Federal Reserve Gov. Chris Waller pounding the table over the need for patience on interest rate cuts in a much-anticipated speech on Wednesday night.

Some described that as a “hawkish sledgehammer,” after hopeful signals from Fed ChairJerome Powell a week ago, and that could make for a rough final trading session of the month Thursday.

Rain on the rate-cut parade comes as red flag warnings pop up across Wall Street over momentum stocks like artificial intelligence darling Nvidia /zigman2/quotes/200467500/composite NVDA +6.18% which has been in the winner’s circle and an S&P 500 index driver in the past year or more.

But by now, investors know that even if AI is in a frenzy right now, the theme is here to stay. And our call of the day from a team of Citigroup strategists led by Drew Pettit say it’s “time to buy the next leg of the artificial intelligence trade.”

Firstly, more caution. They warn of “micro bubble risks,” due to sharp gains in certain pockets of the market, thus “investors should be discerning within the theme, especially for core holdings.”

They stress that investors have been overlooking lots of international names for U.S. stocks, even if the latter has been driving AI year-to-date returns. Their deep dive found “more stocks are contributing to performance upside, and expectations are for earnings growth to be better distributed across the AI value chain in the years ahead.”

Pettit and his team say now is “timely” for growth and value investors to broaden exposure, especially given the dilemmas they each face. For example, growth fans have to figure out what to do with stocks that have seen hefty gains.

“Conversely, their bearish counterparts may be worried about bubble risks in highfliers, like we saw in the unwinding of lower-quality U.S. names in 2022, even though they see structural gains for the theme longer term,” said Pettit and his team.

And value managers struggle with the largely growth-focused AI landscape, though by broadening out the theme, “pockets of value” can be found, says Citi. “The key is looking for names where AI exposures aligns with improving fundamentals.”

So their advice for growth investors is to take the “AI-at-a-reasonable-price approach,” while value investors should look at lower-multiple, or potential undervalued names where margins should expand.

“The end results provide broader regional and value chain exposure, lower beta relative to tech-heavy indices, and more attainable implicit fundamental expectations.”

As for the names flagged by Citi, they break down the stocks mapped out to AI through value chains — enablers, creators and users — offering two screens.

The first screen is the AI at a reasonable price basket. For example, on the creators list they flag AppLovin /zigman2/quotes/226004863/composite APP +6.66% , Okta /zigman2/quotes/210420951/composite OKTA -0.69% , BILL Holdings /zigman2/quotes/215406166/composite BILL +3.21% and Smartsheet /zigman2/quotes/207006006/composite SMAR +0.53% in the U.S., Wix.com /zigman2/quotes/209382272/composite WIX -0.31% and Autoliv /zigman2/quotes/207149618/composite ALV +5.56% in Europe and Japan’s Trend Micro /zigman2/quotes/206023532/delayed JP:4704 +0.12% . Enablers: Intel /zigman2/quotes/203649727/composite INTC -9.20% , Marvell /zigman2/quotes/200053236/composite MRVL +3.17% , Broadcom /zigman2/quotes/200646538/composite AVGO +3.84% , Zillow /zigman2/quotes/204413973/composite Z +1.68% and TE Connectivitiy /zigman2/quotes/205324491/composite TEL -0.19% in the U.S., BE Semiconductors /zigman2/quotes/206329769/delayed NL:BESI -4.12% in Europe and Australia’s Goodman Group /zigman2/quotes/200824536/delayed AU:GMG -1.75% . Users: Block, Veeva Systems Expedia Mastercard in the U.S., Thales, Europe’s Airbus and ABB and Japan’s Nidec and Panasonic.

For the AI value basket, in the creator segment they like U.S.-based Aptiv /zigman2/quotes/204162392/composite APTV +1.54% , DocuSign /zigman2/quotes/205992027/composite DOCU -0.26% , Electronic Arts /zigman2/quotes/206954087/composite EA +0.46% , France’s Capgemeni /zigman2/quotes/206891951/delayed FR:CAP +0.99% and Japan’s Toyota /zigman2/quotes/203803129/delayed JP:7203 +0.37% /zigman2/quotes/200537742/composite TM +0.60% . On the enabler list — HP /zigman2/quotes/203461582/composite HPQ -0.46% , SS&C Technologies /zigman2/quotes/209302304/composite SSNC -0.11% and NetApp /zigman2/quotes/209297588/composite NTAP +0.39% in the U.S., Orange /zigman2/quotes/201008076/delayed FR:ORA -0.86% , Royal KPN /zigman2/quotes/200683801/delayed NL:KPN -0.29% and Hexagon /zigman2/quotes/203909320/delayed SE:HEXA.B -1.52% in Europe and Canon /zigman2/quotes/207639533/delayed JP:7751 +3.64% and Japan’s Nippon Telegraph and Telephone /zigman2/quotes/200718273/delayed JP:9432 -0.71% . Users: Bank of New York Mellon /zigman2/quotes/200171276/composite BK +0.24% , Bank of America /zigman2/quotes/200894270/composite BAC -0.21% , Booking Holdings /zigman2/quotes/203576210/composite BKNG +0.53% in the U.S., Siemens /zigman2/quotes/205905025/delayed XE:SIE +2.26% , Airbus /zigman2/quotes/208224336/delayed FR:AIR -0.92% , Zurich Insurance /zigman2/quotes/208758696/delayed CH:ZURN -0.61% in Europe and Japan’s Nitto Denko /zigman2/quotes/203719953/delayed JP:6988 +2.41% .

Markets

U.S. stocks SPX COMP are steady as benchmark Treasury yields BX:TMUBMUSD10Y rise. The dollar DXY was up, along with oil prices /zigman2/quotes/211629951/delayed CL.1 -0.20% and gold /zigman2/quotes/210034565/delayed GC00 +0.10% was higher at around $2,226 an ounce.

U.S. bond markets will close Thursday at 2 p.m. ET ahead of the Easter break, with U.S. equity and bond markets — and many others across the world — shut all day Friday.

/zigman2/quotes/200467500/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 877.35
+51.03 +6.18%
Volume: 55.10M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
73.50
Dividend Yield
0.02%
Market Cap
$2193.37 billion
Rev. per Employee
$2.06M
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/zigman2/quotes/226004863/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 73.82
+4.61 +6.66%
Volume: 5.38M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
73.65
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$25.47 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.88M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/210420951/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 92.29
-0.64 -0.69%
Volume: 793,448
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$15.45 billion
Rev. per Employee
$383,040
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/215406166/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 62.44
+1.94 +3.21%
Volume: 1.02M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$6.56 billion
Rev. per Employee
$472,835
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/207006006/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 38.28
+0.20 +0.53%
Volume: 1.01M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$5.26 billion
Rev. per Employee
$287,789
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/209382272/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 120.81
-0.37 -0.31%
Volume: 417,880
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
229.94
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$6.72 billion
Rev. per Employee
$294,543
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/207149618/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 122.29
+6.44 +5.56%
Volume: 1.50M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
19.04
Dividend Yield
2.22%
Market Cap
$10.11 billion
Rev. per Employee
$150,740
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/206023532/delayed
JP : Japan: Tokyo
¥ 7,778.00
+9.00 +0.12%
Volume: 548,400
April 26, 2024 3:00p
P/E Ratio
100.34
Dividend Yield
2.30%
Market Cap
¥1056.41 billion
Rev. per Employee
¥33.46M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/203649727/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 31.88
-3.23 -9.20%
Volume: 119.74M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
33.21
Dividend Yield
1.57%
Market Cap
$134.79 billion
Rev. per Employee
$442,604
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/200053236/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 69.62
+2.14 +3.17%
Volume: 11.54M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
0.34%
Market Cap
$60.29 billion
Rev. per Employee
$837,418
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/200646538/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 1,344.07
+49.65 +3.84%
Volume: 2.41M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
49.82
Dividend Yield
1.56%
Market Cap
$622.87 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.94M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/204413973/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 43.67
+0.72 +1.68%
Volume: 3.00M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$10.28 billion
Rev. per Employee
$310,554
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/205324491/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 140.21
-0.27 -0.19%
Volume: 2.65M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
12.84
Dividend Yield
1.85%
Market Cap
$42.96 billion
Rev. per Employee
$178,156
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/206329769/delayed
NL : Netherlands: Euronext Amsterdam
130.40
-5.60 -4.12%
Volume: 790,185
April 26, 2024 5:55p
P/E Ratio
60.91
Dividend Yield
1.65%
Market Cap
€10.53 billion
Rev. per Employee
€340,881
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/200824536/delayed
AU : Australia: Sydney
$ 30.81
-0.55 -1.75%
Volume: 4.44M
April 26, 2024 4:10p
P/E Ratio
250.69
Dividend Yield
0.97%
Market Cap
$58.51 billion
Rev. per Employee
$2.05M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/204162392/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 71.21
+1.08 +1.54%
Volume: 2.11M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
6.88
Dividend Yield
0.00%
Market Cap
$19.42 billion
Rev. per Employee
$130,201
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/205992027/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 57.20
-0.15 -0.26%
Volume: 1.12M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
160.85
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$11.75 billion
Rev. per Employee
$403,784
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/206954087/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 127.90
+0.59 +0.46%
Volume: 1.22M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
32.29
Dividend Yield
0.59%
Market Cap
$34.19 billion
Rev. per Employee
$564,552
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/206891951/delayed
FR : France: Euronext Paris
203.10
+2.00 +0.99%
Volume: 219,551
April 26, 2024 5:55p
P/E Ratio
21.67
Dividend Yield
1.67%
Market Cap
€34.98 billion
Rev. per Employee
€66,155
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/203803129/delayed
JP : Japan: Tokyo
¥ 3,510.00
+13.00 +0.37%
Volume: 30.26M
April 26, 2024 3:00p
P/E Ratio
10.55
Dividend Yield
1.85%
Market Cap
¥47554.07 billion
Rev. per Employee
¥116.50M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/200537742/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 226.71
+1.35 +0.60%
Volume: 242,281
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
9.67
Dividend Yield
1.76%
Market Cap
$302.35 billion
Rev. per Employee
$827,191
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/203461582/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 28.00
-0.13 -0.46%
Volume: 5.36M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
8.18
Dividend Yield
3.94%
Market Cap
$27.40 billion
Rev. per Employee
$914,741
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/209302304/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 61.24
-0.07 -0.11%
Volume: 1.58M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
24.32
Dividend Yield
1.57%
Market Cap
$15.13 billion
Rev. per Employee
$209,590
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/209297588/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 101.33
+0.39 +0.39%
Volume: 2.12M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
23.00
Dividend Yield
1.97%
Market Cap
$20.91 billion
Rev. per Employee
$514,333
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/201008076/delayed
FR : France: Euronext Paris
10.40
-0.09 -0.86%
Volume: 7.02M
April 26, 2024 5:55p
P/E Ratio
12.21
Dividend Yield
6.93%
Market Cap
€27.64 billion
Rev. per Employee
€321,838
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/200683801/delayed
NL : Netherlands: Euronext Amsterdam
3.43
-0.01 -0.29%
Volume: 10.53M
April 26, 2024 5:55p
P/E Ratio
16.12
Dividend Yield
4.38%
Market Cap
€13.50 billion
Rev. per Employee
€559,338
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/203909320/delayed
SE : Sweden: Stockholm
kr 120.20
-1.85 -1.52%
Volume: 5.76M
April 26, 2024 5:29p
P/E Ratio
33.33
Dividend Yield
1.26%
Market Cap
kr322.66 billion
Rev. per Employee
kr2.55M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/207639533/delayed
JP : Japan: Tokyo
¥ 4,214.00
+148.00 +3.64%
Volume: 10.82M
April 26, 2024 3:00p
P/E Ratio
15.65
Dividend Yield
3.56%
Market Cap
¥4219.21 billion
Rev. per Employee
¥24.82M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/200718273/delayed
JP : Japan: Tokyo
¥ 168.20
-1.20 -0.71%
Volume: 219.86M
April 26, 2024 3:00p
P/E Ratio
11.99
Dividend Yield
2.97%
Market Cap
¥14336.58 billion
Rev. per Employee
¥39.22M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/200171276/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 57.32
+0.14 +0.24%
Volume: 2.06M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
13.95
Dividend Yield
2.93%
Market Cap
$42.86 billion
Rev. per Employee
$678,165
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/200894270/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 37.83
-0.08 -0.21%
Volume: 28.67M
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
13.08
Dividend Yield
2.54%
Market Cap
$297.82 billion
Rev. per Employee
$854,300
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/203576210/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 3,521.08
+18.60 +0.53%
Volume: 146,026
April 26, 2024 4:00p
P/E Ratio
29.84
Dividend Yield
0.99%
Market Cap
$119.79 billion
Rev. per Employee
$905,297
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/205905025/delayed
XE : Germany: Xetra
177.62
+3.92 +2.26%
Volume: 1.09M
April 26, 2024 6:30p
P/E Ratio
16.08
Dividend Yield
2.65%
Market Cap
€140.11 billion
Rev. per Employee
€244,094
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/208224336/delayed
FR : France: Euronext Paris
157.06
-1.46 -0.92%
Volume: 1.45M
April 26, 2024 5:55p
P/E Ratio
32.72
Dividend Yield
1.15%
Market Cap
€124.31 billion
Rev. per Employee
€449,737
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/208758696/delayed
CH : Switzerland: SWX
CHF 439.90
-2.70 -0.61%
Volume: 280,089
April 26, 2024 5:31p
P/E Ratio
16.43
Dividend Yield
5.91%
Market Cap
CHF63.52 billion
Rev. per Employee
CHF980,714
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/203719953/delayed
JP : Japan: Tokyo
¥ 14,255.00
+335.00 +2.41%
Volume: 757,000
April 26, 2024 3:00p
P/E Ratio
19.80
Dividend Yield
1.96%
Market Cap
¥2021.30 billion
Rev. per Employee
¥35.10M
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/211629951/delayed
US : U.S.: Nymex
$ 83.68
-0.17 -0.20%
Volume: 222,797
April 26, 2024 4:59p
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/210034565/delayed
US : U.S.: Nymex
$ 2,349.60
+2.40 +0.10%
Volume: 163,124
April 26, 2024 4:59p
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